Raw Mutton

Bait items consumed per cast: 1, Effective bait level: 10

This checks static criteria, not a catch probability. The game excludes the previous fish, scans candidates in a randomized order, applies a bait-adjusted candidate threshold, and can return a fallback. Overfishing can replace the result with junk. Ocean depth bounds apply only when the Ocean water tag is present; the game can combine tags and determines the actual tag at the cast point.

Eligibility for selected criteria

Catch	Required bait / water	Result	Model probability
Water BucketJunk	0–2.5Any water tag	Bait level	0%
Diving FinsJunk	0–2.5Any water tag	Bait level	0%
Anchovy	0–5Moon pool / River / Ocean / Swamp	Bait level	0%
Catfish	5+River / Swamp	Water type	0%
Herring	0–5Moon pool / River / Ocean / Swamp	Bait level	0%
Orange Roughy	5+Moon pool	Water type	0%
Salmon	5+Any water tagOcean depth: 4.5+ m	Criteria metNominal bite wait: 3–10.5 sec	50%
Sardine	0–5Any water tag	Bait level	0%
Small Shark	5+Moon pool / Ocean / Deep seaOcean depth: 5.5+ m	Ocean depth	0%
Small Trout	3+Moon pool / Ocean / Deep sea	Criteria metNominal bite wait: 4.5–14.5 sec	50%
Yellow Perch	3+River / Swamp	Water type	0%
Human SkullJunk	0–2.5Any water tag	Bait level	0%
Small Water BottleJunk	0–2.5Any water tag	Bait level	0%
TarpJunk	0–2.5Any water tag	Bait level	0%
Water JugJunk	0–2.5Any water tag	Bait level	0%

Probabilities average over uniformly shuffled candidate orders and include the fallback catch. The running server keeps an unknown order; actual probabilities can differ. Assumes no overfishing override, unchanged server rules and the selected previous catch.

The bite-wait range assumes the normal hook timer, the selected fish and bait, and no server overrides. It excludes reeling time and uses the bait item's base value, not its stacked level.

Default overfishing settings: 25 successful catches, 16 m radius, 30 minutes. Current server settings and area state are unknown.